Latest voting prediction market news covering elections, primaries, ballot measures, voter turnout, polling, electoral outcomes and market price changes.
The prediction-market figures come from the supplied August 31 screenshots. Prices, probabilities, volumes, order-book quantities, and estimated costs can change at any time.
Read Full StoryVoting Prediction Market News follows event contracts connected to elections, primaries, ballot measures, voter turnout, polling milestones and other measurable electoral outcomes. This category tracks market movement as campaigns develop, official information changes and traders respond to new polling, endorsements, debates, court decisions and election results. Coverage is informational and politically neutral, with attention on the market question, contract rules, current pricing and the developments affecting each outcome.
Prices and displayed probabilities are snapshots from August 25, 2026. They are market prices, not election results, polling averages, or guarantees of who will become the nominee.
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Kalshi percentages can change throughout the day as contracts are bought and sold. Figures shown here reflect the market information supplied on August 18, 2026. Prediction-market probabilities are not polling results or election results. Eligible new traders can get a free $10 plus unlock up to $500 in additional bonuses after trading at least $25 through the current...
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Kalshi market prices and displayed probabilities can change at any time. Figures shown in this article reflect the market information captured on August 15, 2026, and should not be interpreted as polling data or a final election forecast. Eligible new traders can get a free $10 plus unlock up to $500 in additional bonuses after trading at least...
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Market prices and probabilities change as traders place orders and new political information becomes available. The latest trade, bid, ask and checkout price can differ. The Republican contract resolves Yes when the Republican Party wins control of the House in the 2026 election. The Democratic contract resolves Yes when Democrats win control. At most one party market can...
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