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Risk Disclosure

This Risk Disclosure explains material risks connected to prediction markets, event contracts, promotional offers, third-party platforms and information published on BonusPredictions.com.

You Can Lose Money

Event contracts can settle against your position, lose value or become difficult to exit before settlement.

Market Prices Aren't Guarantees

Prices reflect current trading activity and market expectations, not certified probabilities or guaranteed outcomes.

Platform Rules Control

Contract wording, settlement sources, eligibility, fees and account restrictions are controlled by the applicable third-party platform.

Purpose of This Risk Disclosure

Bonus Predictions publishes news, educational content, market information, platform coverage and promotional offers related to prediction markets and event contracts. This page explains important risks readers should consider before creating an account, depositing funds or entering a trade.

Website use is also governed by our Terms of Service .

Never trade money needed for housing, food, healthcare, debt, taxes, emergencies or other essential expenses. No trade, bonus, strategy or market price guarantees a profit.

Bonus Predictions Is an Independent Information Website

Bonus Predictions isn't a prediction market, exchange, sportsbook, broker, financial institution or account provider. We don't accept trades, hold customer funds, verify identities, process deposits, approve withdrawals or settle event contracts.

Third-party platforms independently control account eligibility, market access, contract rules, pricing, fees, settlement, promotions and customer support.

Financial Loss Risk

Event contracts generally pay according to whether a defined outcome occurs under the platform's contract rules. Positions that settle against the trader can lose some or all of the amount committed, together with applicable fees or other costs.

Selling or closing a position before settlement doesn't guarantee recovery of the original amount. Market conditions can change quickly, and the available exit price may be substantially lower than the purchase price.

Previous profits, historical accuracy, market consensus and past platform performance don't predict future results.

Market Price and Probability Risk

Prediction market prices can provide information about current market expectations, but they aren't certified probabilities. Prices can be influenced by trading volume, liquidity, participant beliefs, new information, order-book conditions and market structure.

Crowds can be wrong. Widely expected outcomes can fail to occur, and low-priced outcomes can occur. Prices may change sharply after news, rumors, data releases, court decisions, injuries, weather developments or other events.

Displayed prices may differ from the price available when an order executes. Delays between viewing a market and placing an order can change the expected cost and payout.

Liquidity and Execution Risk

Some markets have limited trading activity or few available counterparties. Limited liquidity can create wider price gaps, partial fills, delayed execution or difficulty closing a position.

Entry Risk

The requested quantity may not be available at the displayed price, especially in smaller or rapidly moving markets.

Exit Risk

Traders may need to accept a less favorable price or hold a position until settlement when buyers are limited.

Order Risk

Market and limit orders behave differently. Order settings can affect execution price, timing and whether the trade fills.

Volatility Risk

Rapid price changes can occur before an order is entered, filled, changed or canceled.

Contract Rules and Settlement Risk

Market titles and headlines are summaries. The complete contract wording determines what must happen for a position to settle in a particular way.

Traders should review the settlement criteria, designated source, relevant dates, time zone, measurement method, cancellation rules and dispute procedures before entering a position.

Settlement can be affected by delayed reports, corrected data, recounts, court decisions, canceled events, rescheduled events, unclear wording, source revisions or disputes over whether the stated conditions were satisfied.

Bonus Predictions doesn't determine contract outcomes and can't reverse, appeal or guarantee a platform's settlement decision.

Platform and Operational Risk

Trading platforms can experience technical, financial, administrative and operational problems. Relevant risks include:

  • Website, application or API outages.
  • Delayed orders, canceled orders or incorrect displays.
  • Identity-verification delays or account restrictions.
  • Deposit, transfer or withdrawal delays.
  • Market suspension, cancellation or early closure.
  • Changes to fees, limits, rules or supported jurisdictions.
  • Cybersecurity incidents, credential theft or unauthorized access.
  • Customer-service delays or unresolved account disputes.
  • Business failure, insolvency or loss of platform access.

Review each platform's current terms, security information, custody arrangements and complaint procedures before depositing funds.

Fraud, Manipulation and Nonpublic Information

Prediction markets can be affected by false information, deceptive activity, manipulation, account misuse and unlawful use of material nonpublic information.

Don't impersonate another person, share accounts, evade identity checks, manipulate market activity, submit false information or trade using information obtained unlawfully.

Suspicious activity should be reported to the relevant platform and, when appropriate, the responsible regulator or law enforcement authority.

News, Data and Information Risk

Bonus Predictions works to publish useful information, but market data, prices, laws, promotional terms, platform rules and news can become outdated quickly.

Information may be delayed, incomplete, corrected or affected by technical errors. Articles, market examples, opinions and summaries shouldn't replace direct review of the applicable platform and contract rules.

Artificial intelligence may support parts of our publishing process under human direction and review. More information appears in our AI Disclosure .

Bonus and Promotional Risk

Signup bonuses, referral rewards, promo codes and trading credits can include deposit requirements, trading requirements, expiration dates, withdrawal restrictions and eligibility conditions.

Promotions can change or end without notice. Receiving a bonus doesn't guarantee a profit, and bonus credits may be restricted, nonwithdrawable or forfeited when requirements aren't completed.

The platform's current terms control every promotion. Bonus Predictions can't guarantee account approval, reward issuance, continued eligibility or withdrawal.

Affiliate and Referral Conflict Risk

Bonus Predictions may receive compensation when visitors click, register, deposit, trade or complete another qualifying action through certain links.

Compensation creates a financial interest in referrals. It doesn't reduce visitor risk, guarantee platform quality or make a trade appropriate for a particular person.

Commercial relationships are explained in our Affiliate Disclosure .

Tax and Recordkeeping Risk

Gains, losses, bonuses, referral rewards, credits and withdrawals may create tax reporting or payment obligations. Tax treatment can depend on the platform, contract, activity, jurisdiction and individual circumstances.

Bonus Predictions doesn't provide personal tax advice or prepare tax returns. Maintain accurate transaction records and consult a qualified tax professional when needed.

Account and Cybersecurity Risk

Fraudulent websites, phishing messages, fake applications, impersonation and credential theft can target prediction market users.

  • Use unique passwords and available multifactor authentication.
  • Confirm website addresses before entering account credentials.
  • Don't share passwords, verification codes or recovery phrases.
  • Review account activity and withdrawal destinations regularly.
  • Be cautious with unsolicited messages and guaranteed-profit claims.

Information about website data practices appears in our Privacy Policy .

No Professional Advice or Fiduciary Relationship

Content on Bonus Predictions is general news, information and educational material. It isn't individualized financial, investment, legal, tax or gambling advice.

Nothing on the website creates a fiduciary, advisory, agency, partnership or brokerage relationship. Readers remain responsible for their own research, eligibility checks, platform selection and trading decisions.

Responsible Participation

Set a fixed spending limit before trading and consider the entire amount committed to be at risk. Avoid chasing losses, borrowing money to trade or increasing position size because of emotional pressure.

Take breaks when trading interferes with work, sleep, relationships, finances or daily responsibilities. Platform controls, deposit limits, account restrictions and professional support may be appropriate when participation becomes difficult to manage.

Changes to This Risk Disclosure

Markets, regulations, platform practices and website services can change. We may revise this Risk Disclosure when relevant risks, legal requirements or business practices change.

The current version will remain posted on this page with an updated date.

Contact Bonus Predictions

Questions about this Risk Disclosure or possible errors in our prediction market content can be submitted through our Contact Us page. Account, deposit, withdrawal and settlement disputes must be directed to the relevant platform.